Analysing Historical and Modelling Future Soil Temperature at Kuujjuaq, Quebec (Canada): Implications on Aviation Infrastructure

The impact of climate change on soil temperatures at Kuujjuaq, Quebec in northern Canada is assessed. First, long-term historical temperature records (1967–1995) are statistically analyzed to provide a climatological baseline for soils 5 150 cm depths. Next, the nature relationship between atmospheric variables and determined using statistical downscaling model (SDSM) National Centers Environmental Prediction (NCEP), data set. SDSM was found replicate historic well used project remainder century output Canadian Second Generation Earth System Model (CanESM2). Three Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP 2.6, 4.5 8.5) were from Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). This study that this location may warm 0.9 1.2 °C per decade various Annual all depths projected rise above 0 1997–2026 period scenarios. melting poses hazard airport infrastructure will require adaptation measures.